Total Cost of Ownership: Diesel vs BEV vs FCEV
Per-mile cost breakdown across powertrains — BEV saves $0.23/mi vs diesel ($14,000+/yr at 100k miles). Sources: NACFE, RMI, ICCT.
BEV saves $0.23/mi vs Diesel ($0.14/mi per 100k mi = $14,000/yr). Sources: ATRI 2025, NACFE, RMI.
Cumulative Fuel Savings vs Diesel (5-Year)
BEV fuel savings depend heavily on electricity rates — from $36K (at $0.20/kWh) to $120K (at $0.08/kWh) over 5 years.
Assumptions: 120,000 mi/yr | Diesel: $3.50/gal, 7.5 MPG ($0.47/mi) | BEV efficiency: 2.1 kWh/mi
Battery Pack Cost Curve ($/kWh)
BloombergNEF and ICCT forecasts — pack prices dropped 20% in 2024 to $115/kWh, targeting $65-80 by 2030. Commercial packs cost 20-40% more than passenger EV.
EV battery pack cost ($/kWh). Solid lines = historical, dashed = projected. Shaded bands show forecast ranges. Sources: BloombergNEF, ICCT.
Payback Period by Use Case
Last-mile and regional haul reach breakeven in 2-4 years with IRA credits. Long-haul needs MCS infrastructure (emerging 2026+). Sources: RMI, NACFE, ICCT.
Estimated BEV payback period by use case. Bar position shows midpoint of range. Green = fastest payback. Sources: ICCT, NACFE, RMI.